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2024-12-13 04:58:53

Central china securities believes that the grasp of the operation and investment of the A-share market in 2025 should at least follow two major trends at the macro level: (1) the "Trump 2.0" policy from the outside, especially the intensity and progress of tariff increase; (2) The strength and continuous progress of domestic countercyclical control policies. In terms of industry configuration, we can focus on four main lines: (1) new productivity-related sectors such as self-control of science and technology and acceleration of domestic substitution, such as frontier technical fields such as artificial intelligence, semiconductors, new chemical materials and related equipment segmentation fields; (2) consumption and infrastructure sectors related to promoting domestic demand, such as smart driving product industrial chain, smart home, pet products, ships, construction machinery, etc.; (3) Supply optimization and demand recovery have led to an inflection point in the prosperity of the industry, such as photovoltaic and lithium batteries; (4) Theme concepts related to deepening the reform of the capital market and promoting listed companies to enhance their investment value, such as mergers and acquisitions, cash dividends and market value management, such as construction, coal, transportation, banking and other industries with concentrated net losses or low valuation characteristics.Where are the possible opportunities?According to the investment strategy report of Hualong Securities, the equity market will remain in a favorable fundamental environment in 2025. The central bank will continue to adhere to the supportive monetary policy stance and maintain a reasonable and abundant liquidity. At the same time, the proactive fiscal policy will continue to exert its strength, the pressure of localized debt will be reduced, and more resources will be released to protect people's livelihood and promote the economy. The real estate market will stop falling and stabilize, and the policy of developing new quality productivity will continue to advance. The economy as a whole will remain in the boom expansion zone, and the market will have more opportunities for allocation and layout. Hualong Securities believes that the style in 2025 may be interpreted as: Technology (TMT) > Advanced Manufacturing. Hualong Securities suggested that we should pay attention to TMT, advanced manufacturing, cycle and other major styles and industries.


Where are the possible opportunities?What do institutions think of the trend of A shares next year?


What do institutions think of the trend of A shares next year?Where are the possible opportunities?Where are the possible opportunities?

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